저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
비트코인은 모멘텀 약화로 하락 지속 패턴이며 8만달러 도달해도 추세가 약하다고 봄. 온체인 지표(수익/손실 지갑 비율)는 아직 교차 전이나 근접, 5만달러 이하 분할 매수 전략 제시. 래리 핑크의 경기침체 경고와 50일/100일선 데드크로스 가능성 언급. 중동 전쟁으로 주가지수 및 통화 가치 변동 언급하며 알트코인(Ondo, Sei, Injective, Aptos, Chainlink)의 상승 여력을 제시.
다듬은 글
A look at the summary of events in the cryptocurrency market as usual and a discussion about them. The most important tweets from the past 24 hours from our perspective. If you enjoy this content, stay with me. Hello to you all. Hope you're doing well. Welcome back. Let's take a quick look together.
Let's start the summary of X's events in the past 24 hours with a tweet from Rover. Bitcoin is losing its momentum. He points to this bearish continuation pattern. The last time this happened, Bitcoin was able to it set a higher high for us, but the momentum didn't support it and eventually it dropped.
Now we have the same expectation that even if Bitcoin manages to reach as high as $80,000, the momentum won't be there to support it. It won't happen. So we expect that eventually this drop will occur and we'll head toward lower numbers. Is this a good place to buy? Have we seen the market bottom? Based on the chart we're looking at, the number of wallets holding a percentage of the supply, the ones in profit compared to the percentage of supply that's at a loss, these two still haven't crossed each other.
Not like last time, not like the previous cycle, but they've gotten very close to each other. And this shows that at these prices, Bitcoin is gradually reaching that supply-demand equilibrium. Meaning, after this drop, we can start accumulating and DCA-ing with more confidence. It's possible that such a scenario could play out.
If Bitcoin drops below 50,000, you can make your purchases with more peace of mind. Do it in this area. Look, there's a point that Benjamin often discusses in his analysis. He says, for example, that Bitcoin usually finds its bottom about a year after it reaches its top. Considering that everyone knows this and everyone is talking about it, there's a possibility that Bitcoin might even start to recover earlier.
It is certainly possible that it could continue to move toward much higher numbers. Unless and let me just take a moment to show you a specific chart that I have right here. I'm currently looking for this particular chart unless of course we happen to enter into a significant economic recession. Is a major market crash coming?
Is a crash already on the way? And is the entire market about to drop significantly? Because we are seeing both the 50-day and the 100-day moving averages heading directly toward a death cross. On the other hand, I've also prepared an article and posted it on the TechRaptor research channel. Be sure to read it.
Larry Fink had an interview with the BBC. Now, I'll talk about AI and related topics. Then at one point he talks about the looming shadow of $150 oil. He says, "If this happens, we'll enter an economic recession." And this is the recession I'm talking about unless that specific scenario actually happens and the market moves toward significantly lower price points.
Otherwise, still the broader narrative surrounding the mainstream adoption of Bitcoin and if I may add, the conditions we see with Bitcoin and so on will again form the market's bottom and the market split in two will start moving upward with a positive divergence. But if we want to talk about the war, it's about time we move on.
Let's get to the war news and see what's been happening. It's not a bad idea to keep this information in mind ever since the war started and the military conflict with Iran began. These are the stock indices of different countries and you can see that Israel's stock index has grown by 4.5% Russia's by 2.4% and Saudi Arabia's as well.
The Arab countries have grown by 2.2% while the S&P 500 has dropped by 0.4%. Qatar has seen a decline as have China, Australia, India, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and so on. Most of all it's been the UAE that has been targeted as we can see that the majority of drone and missile attacks in this war instead of being directed at Israel have been aimed at the UAE.
And we can see that as a result the UAE's stock index has experienced a greater decline. However, in these recent days of conflict it appears that Iran is The government of the Islamic Republic of Iran is now also initiating a series of direct military attacks against highly sensitive Israeli nuclear research and power facilities by launching strikes there as well.
And the overall situation on the ground remains deeply uncertain and continues to develop rapidly. It is extremely shocking, and this is the main point that CryptoOver has shared with us. Both sides are saying, "Hey, I won." America says, "I am the winner." And Iran also says, "I am the winner." But what does winning even mean?
Do you remember that Black Knight podcast? If I'm not mistaken, it was repeated here on the channel. Yeah, here. This is the Iranian Black Knight, the Black Knight. If you haven't listened to it, take a look at it without delay. Here, I want to explain what I mean by the distortion of winning. What am I saying?
Winning can be like the story of the Black Knight. You've lost an arm, you've lost a leg. And he says, "This is nothing but a scratch. I've only got a small cut." So, in reality, we need to see what the distortion of victory really is. But Trump is relentless, putting on pressure, and constantly talking about negotiations, while on the other side, Iranian officials keep saying, "No, sir.
We are not negotiating at all." And we saw that eight oil tankers passed through the Strait of Hormuz from the Gulf. And Trump also mentioned this in his remarks yesterday, clearly showing that in Iran the Iranian leaders are not communicating with each other, and you can see it both from their contradictory statements and from In fact, you can completely see from the kinds of actions they're taking that the leadership has become two-headed.
By leadership, I mean those who command and give orders, and there are two different behaviors, which we are witnessing right now. And Trump is also looking for a lasting deal. Again, I'm saying since yesterday he's been very active, bringing it up repeatedly, pointing to it, and looking for a stable situation.
There's a high chance he might even involve ground forces himself. There's something that CoinDesk shared with us. Since the year 2000, it has been tracking the exchange rates of different countries' currencies. It compares how much purchasing power they've lost, the Chinese yuan, for example. -96%, the US dollar -79%, the British pound -76%, the euro of the European Union -74%, and the Japanese yen -51%.
It has lost its value, and during this period, the Japanese yen has performed better compared to the others. Among the currencies, it has had better condition, and the worst of all is the Chinese yuan. We should also mention this loss of value. In the crypto market as well, there are many cryptocurrencies that people had high hopes for, like Ondo, Sei, Injective, and Aptos.
Honestly, their prices are at unbelievable levels right now. You can see and buy them at these prices. But of course, the risk for altcoins is extremely high at the moment. Yes, Ondo could have a gap. It could grow by 400%, a 4x increase, 3 to 7x for Injective, 5x and 7 for Aptos. A 5x return is possible.
Chainlink was also among the coins I talked about in last night's video. On the Tekeraga channel, we're seeing that the number of whales is increasing, meaning the wallets holding more than 1,000 LINK in their wallets is growing, and it's setting a new record since December 3rd, 2025. It shows us this, and the next point is that Ontology is partnering with WalletConnect to be able to actually develop this both for developers and for for users, so they can connect their TON wallet much more easily using WalletConnect.
And this was also an interesting point. I recently saw a social media post that says, "When you are finally 30 years old, and you are still trying to create engaging video content for TikTok, because crypto hasn't worked out, and you're making other content on your channel." Actually, I had reposted a podcast and shared some content.
Then, supporters of the Islamic Republic came and wrote, "Sir, it's not even clear what you're doing." Since then, crypto news, now not political news, really there's nothing political here. So, news, should you talk about politics? Because I had come and talked about this Chinese propaganda. It was necessary for me to come and explain what the actual situation is and who really has the right perspective.
So, I mean, I saw this, too, and I thought it was really funny, and it fits perfectly. Overall, my perspective is about what can be done with media, what can be done in crypto. And now, for example, someone like me who couldn't make money from crypto has come to TikTok and is saying things like this, wanting to make money.
But, that was it. A look at the summary of events in the cryptocurrency market. I hope I hope this content has been useful for you and that you've been updated. Be sure to watch this video as well. It's a follow-up to the video, actually, "Who is the winner of the Iran-Anuvica War?" by Professor Jang.
And this is also his perspective. It can't be completely wrong, and I'm just sharing my opinion here and thinking out loud. And none of them are necessarily supposed to be correct. In the end, life will do what it has to do. Thank you for staying with me until the end of the video. Until the next update, take care of yourselves.
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